SPX | Will this time be different?
已更新
World on terror in 2001, world on Russia in 2022.
Sticky inflation, explosive dollar and a tech bubble.
And a housing crisis brewing? Not a recipe for success.
I don't understand why anyone would expect actual, long-term growth from this exact point.
The chart above shows something peculiar. We have bearishly tried to escape the ribbon and failed (for now?).
Also the recent peak occurred in the 1.272 extension of 2000 peak, to 2009 bottom. A brief blow-off top in Dec.21 killed any hope of further growth. We have tremendous resistance above us, are we up for the task? Do we have heaps of money or are we over-leveraged from the 2-year party we had?
Also look at this peculiar era. A linear channel that barely deviated from its course shaped the previous years. And now we lost all support. A long-term rising channel isn't very bullish for me. We have analyzed it with many many methods, that since the GFC we are experiencing RSI Divergence (RSI printing lower highs, price printing higher highs).
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS: I <3 HL2
Sticky inflation, explosive dollar and a tech bubble.
And a housing crisis brewing? Not a recipe for success.
I don't understand why anyone would expect actual, long-term growth from this exact point.
The chart above shows something peculiar. We have bearishly tried to escape the ribbon and failed (for now?).
Also the recent peak occurred in the 1.272 extension of 2000 peak, to 2009 bottom. A brief blow-off top in Dec.21 killed any hope of further growth. We have tremendous resistance above us, are we up for the task? Do we have heaps of money or are we over-leveraged from the 2-year party we had?
Also look at this peculiar era. A linear channel that barely deviated from its course shaped the previous years. And now we lost all support. A long-term rising channel isn't very bullish for me. We have analyzed it with many many methods, that since the GFC we are experiencing RSI Divergence (RSI printing lower highs, price printing higher highs).
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS: I <3 HL2
註釋
Mind the gap註釋
Why has NYA taken such a peculiar shape the past couple of years?It is very squashed upwards, like a ball, and is moving very fast downwards. Very weird...
註釋
Not looking good mate... not a good way to close a 3 month candle...註釋
Update:Pattern taken from November 2000
註釋
LAST MAN STANDING註釋
There is a reason I tell you to tread lightly. Do you have an exit strategy?註釋
No turning back now! RSI can be an early-warning tool for price.RSI created a H&S pattern. Failed to sustain above the trendline.
Down we go!
註釋
The many Heads and Shoulders appearing in the main indices.NDQ vs DJI
SPX vs NYA
DJI vs SPX
NDQ vs RUI
RUI vs NYA
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。