Two scenarios for EOS, which one is more probable?

2018年5月4日

In the next few days EOS can break the resistance line (scenario 1) or go down to the second support line (scenario 2).
Which one seems more probable in your opinion?
Comments are appreciated!
Vote link
twitter.com/Nazar63954775/status/992366829795463168

2018年5月5日

註釋

failed to break the resistance line, if it go out the triangle then will follow scenario 2