VIX closed last week on the lowest level since august 2015 – and we all remember what happened then. This, combined with the highest ever level for S&P 500 make me a little cautious in the short term. Move up in S&P 500 looks somewhat tired. I believe market needs some rest and is ready for a small correction. So here is my idea for the trade:
buy
VXX (iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures) in anticipation of S&P to decrease to 2100-2090 level in the next one to two weeks or
sell short
ES1! (S&P e-mini futures) with the target 2091-2085.
As usual, watch your risk and follow capital guidelines.
buy
sell short
As usual, watch your risk and follow capital guidelines.
註釋
Look ar that NAAIM exposure index chart:naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
Seems to me investment managers have pushed their clients (equity accounts) to be nearly fully allocated to stocks.
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