歐元 / 加元
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EUR/CAD Bearish Flag Breakdown Toward Fibonacci Supp

120
Analysis

1. **Trend Breakdown:**

* The chart shows a clear **bearish structure** developing after a strong rally to the 1.58800 area (Fibonacci 1.618 extension level).
* Two upward trendlines were broken successively, confirming bearish momentum.

2. **Fibonacci Levels:**

* The retracement from 1.58800 down to the 0.382 level (1.54586) has held significant importance.
* Price action is respecting the **Fibonacci retracement zones**, with rejection near the 0.786 and 1.0 levels (1.56915 - 1.57109).

3. **Bearish Flag Pattern:**

* A small **bearish flag/pennant** formed after a strong drop, which has now broken downward.
* This confirms the **continuation of the bearish move**.

4. **Volume Confirmation:**

* Volume spikes during the initial sell-off and again on recent bearish candles suggest **strong selling interest**.

5. **Trade Setup (Marked on Chart):**

* **Entry:** Near 1.56443
* **Stop-Loss:** Around 1.57109 (just above recent highs)
* **Target:** Around 1.54848–1.54500 zone, aligning with prior demand and 0.382 Fib level

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**Conclusion:**
The chart signals a high-probability **short setup**, backed by a break of structure, Fibonacci confluence, bearish flag breakdown, and volume. A continued decline toward the 1.54500–1.54800 region is likely, provided the price stays below 1.57100.

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