EUR/CHF: At the Crossroads with 200DMA Looming Large

With the key 200-day moving average overhead and having failed to sustain pushes above .9400 earlier this month, EUR/CHF finds itself at an interesting level on the charts, generating multiple potential setups depending on how near-term price action evolves.

If the price is unable to hold above .9400, shorts could be initiated with a stop above the 200-day moving average for protection. Minor support sits at .9339, with a break of that level opening the door for a run toward the recent swing low around .9220. For this setup to play out, an escalation in trade tensions between the United States and major trade partners would be helpful.

Alternatively, a break and close above the 200-day moving average would allow for longs to be established, targeting the 50-day moving average initially and resistance at .9491 thereafter. A stop beneath the 200DMA would provide protection. Further concrete progress in trade negotiations would assist an extension of the recent rebound.

While momentum indicators are less bearish than when the price last visited these levels, on balance, they still screen neutral to slightly bearish.

Good luck!
DS