Support test and possible ignition move in the EURGBP.

10月31日

EUR/GBP is sitting in a significant support area on the daily chart, marked by a descending trendline (which was broken in yesterday’s candle) and a horizontal level of support that comes all the way from 2022. Below are some key points about the pair at the moment:

1. Horizontal Support at Lowest time since 2022: The orange line on the chart marks a critical support area, coinciding with the lowest price recorded since 2022. This horizontal support suggests a strong turning point where sellers seem to be losing steam, which could indicate a possible reversal if the price remains above this level.
   
   
2. Bullish Engulfing Pattern: On September 30, in the daily chart a Bullish Engulfing pattern has recently formed after the price touched the support area. This pattern, characterized by a bullish candle completely engulfing the previous bearish candle, signals renewed interest from buyers and potential bullish momentum in the coming days
   
   
3. Break of downtrend line: On September 30th, EURGBP showed the beginning of a break of a downtrend line that has been in place since August 8th. This also indicates a potential increase in buying interest in this region.
   
   
4. Fibonacci Levels as Potential Targets: The 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci levels stand out as potential targets for an upward correction. The red zone near the 0.5 level (around 0.8460) is an important resistance point, which could serve as a target if the price maintains its recovery.
   
   
5. Resistance and Support: The orange line at the 0.8339 level represents a critical support zone. On the other hand, the region near 0.8460 (0.5 Fibonacci level) is a potential resistance and target for buyers if the bullish momentum continues.
   

Considering these factors, an upward move could occur if the price remains above the support, with a possible target for levels near 0.8460. Alternatively, a break below the horizontal support and the descending trendline could trigger renewed selling pressure, driving the price to lower levels.

Watch for NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday:

Traders interested in EUR/GBP should also keep an eye on the upcoming US NonFarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due out on Friday, November 1. This economic indicator affects the dollar directly, but it can also impact global market sentiment, influencing pairs such as EUR/GBP. A strong NFP reading could lead to an overall strengthening of the dollar, which could indirectly affect the euro and pound, while a weak reading could have the opposite effect.

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