歐元 / 土耳其里拉
看空

Possible EURTRY carry setup - 5.5% annual yield vs EUR

250
It's going to happen eventually.
Technically now looks good but of course we could see another push higher.

CBoT's primary challenge for 2014 will be to slow inflation.

The statistics do not show a significant reflux of capitals from Turkey due to the political crisis for now but the Turkish people seem to lose faith in the national currency, Capital Daily reports.

According to data of Turkey’s Central Bank in the second half of 2013, i.e. after the start of the protests at Istanbul’s Gezi Park, Turkish households have converted in foreign currency an amount equal to $20 billion. If in July the deposits were $98.3 billion, now they have reached $119.3 billion.

This complicates the bank’s task to maintain the exchange rate of the Turkish lira stable in a moment, when the lira lost 7% of its value in a month (in a total of 17% devaluation for the entire 2013). At the same time the USA hits the stimulation of the economy with cheap US dollars, which affects countries like Turkey with a significant deficit in their account.

Why has the TRY fallen so hard over the last 5 years? This could be why. Rates have crashed.
deltastock.com/english/resources/interest_rate_history.asp?curr=TRY

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。