EURUSD - Compression Before Expansion? Key Reversal Zone

EURUSD is currently trading within a clear descending channel after rejecting a key resistance area. This move signals a shift in short-term sentiment, with bearish momentum guiding price action lower. The channel structure is intact, and as long as price respects this slope, lower levels remain in play.

Rejection From Resistance
After tapping into the major resistance zone, price failed to break higher and began forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming seller control. The rejection was clean and initiated the current bearish structure, which now serves as a roadmap for potential continuation lower.

Imbalance and Downside Targets
Below current price, there’s a visible imbalance that remains unfilled within the highlighted purple zone. This area acts as a magnet for price, especially if the bearish structure continues. A drop into this zone would align with a textbook move to fill inefficiency before a potential reversal can occur.

Support Structure and Liquidity Zone
There’s a strong support level marked just above the imbalance, which may offer a temporary reaction or even serve as a springboard for a reversal. This is also a likely liquidity pool, and a sweep of these lows could generate the fuel needed for a bullish move back toward mid-channel or even higher.

Projection and Scenarios
Price may either continue respecting the channel boundaries with stair-step retracements down into the imbalance, or break structure early with a more aggressive reversal once the inefficiency is filled. A deeper move into the purple zone followed by a reaction would suggest a potential shift in momentum.

Conclusion
The pair remains in a bearish corrective phase for now, with room to dip further into the unmitigated imbalance. Watch for how price reacts at support and whether a clean sweep and reversal setup presents itself. Until then, the channel remains the dominant structure guiding this move.

Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.

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