Analysis Summary:
1. Current pullback after a strong impulse move suggests a short-term retracement.
2. The imbalance zone (highlighted in red) around 23,970–24,010 may act as a magnet.
3. Alternatively, price may continue lower to tap into 4H demand / liquidity zone before reversing upward.
📌 Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently — open to feedback!
1. Current pullback after a strong impulse move suggests a short-term retracement.
2. The imbalance zone (highlighted in red) around 23,970–24,010 may act as a magnet.
3. Alternatively, price may continue lower to tap into 4H demand / liquidity zone before reversing upward.
📌 Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently — open to feedback!
交易進行
4. Macro Risk: Recent announcement of a 30% tariff on EU goods by Donald Trump could shift sentiment bearish. If imbalance fails, we may see a full CHoCH and deeper downside (if no deal reached by Aug 1st).註釋
EU holds off $84B tariff response to Trump's 30% threat, hoping talks avoid a trade war. DAX40 took support near 24,059 (before the imbalance)— could bounce if negotiations go well otherwise bearish!註釋
Update 16 July: Could a PPI beat today trigger short term rally in DAX40 amid ongoing trade discussion and USD strength? 註釋
update 17 July:Market is tracking the forecast well so far — price is reacting as expected near imbalance and support zones.
註釋
update 20 July: Trump’s demand for a minimum 15%–20% tariff on imports from the European Union is creating bearish sentiment for FDAX heading into next week. A confirmation of this move could trigger further downside註釋
But if the U.S. and EU agree on a 15% tariff and the EU is okay with it, FDAX might bounce, since markets were expecting something worse交易結束：目標達成
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