When we take a look at other technical indicators, the ( ) is at 81.4842. tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the is well overbought and due to retreat.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 21.9577. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has been moving up.
The positive indicator ( VI ) is at 1.3173 and the negative is at 0.6377. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. Currently the positive indicator had been moving up, but may be in the early stages of its downward reversal. Projected future movement has been drawn in the VI window.
The oscillator K value is 93.9795 and D value is 90.7662. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The is currently in overbought territory. This indicator will drop, the question is will the stock drop with it or slowly begin to swing up and down?
The stock recently gapped up after . Gaps are typically filled, but the time in which this is done varies. Even though a closing of the gap may happen, simple movement to the bottom of the gap is much more likely and it is a staggering 11% drop from the May 12th closing price.
Considering the , TSI, VI and levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside, although definitive downward movement may take a few more days to develop. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop at least 10% over the next 30 trading days if not sooner.
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-Elliott Wave Ideas (elliottwaveideas.com)