TimStuyts

GBPAUD; why 1 last leg lower still possible?

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FX:GBPAUD   英鎊/澳元
7
I posted GBPAUD earlier and this is the follow up I mentioned.


Today we see a strong impulse higher, so now we need to watch for a break and consolidation above the non-horizontal trend line (blue) to buy GBPAUD.

Another approach is to wait for a 5 wave structure higher followed by a 3 wave correction.

However in case of an 'unclear' count I like to count the extensions. We see several overlaps which suggests the corrective structure. This approach is very sensitive but good to keep in mind.

9 waves is an extension of an impulse, where 7 and 11 are extensions of a correction.

I count 9 waves at the moment shown by means of the Red and Green arrows.
Since my long term target is a bit lower as well (2.00-1.98) I keep in mind that we might see another leg lower to complete the 11 waves which suggest a correction as well.

A break lower will activate a sell trade for that 11th wave.

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