The bearish pin candle on the GBP/AUD daily chart on Tuesday is a warning sign for bulls after a more than seven big-figure rally in less than a fortnight. RSI (14) is flashing extreme overbought conditions, sitting at levels that have marked major market tops in the past.
Fundamentally, the move stacks up—improved Eurozone optimism from increased military spending and weaker energy prices is a tailwind for the U.K., while ongoing U.S.-China tariff skirmishes weigh on the AUD, overshadowing early signs of an Australian economic recovery.
But that’s all baked in now, leaving GBP/AUD vulnerable to downside without fresh catalysts to push the narrative further.
If the pair nears Tuesday’s high, it could offer an entry point for those looking to fade the move. Stops could be placed above that level, targeting an initial pullback to 2.0300—the December 2024 high. From there, traders can reassess whether to aim for 2.0150 or square the trade.
Good luck!
DS
Fundamentally, the move stacks up—improved Eurozone optimism from increased military spending and weaker energy prices is a tailwind for the U.K., while ongoing U.S.-China tariff skirmishes weigh on the AUD, overshadowing early signs of an Australian economic recovery.
But that’s all baked in now, leaving GBP/AUD vulnerable to downside without fresh catalysts to push the narrative further.
If the pair nears Tuesday’s high, it could offer an entry point for those looking to fade the move. Stops could be placed above that level, targeting an initial pullback to 2.0300—the December 2024 high. From there, traders can reassess whether to aim for 2.0150 or square the trade.
Good luck!
DS
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。