英鎊/澳元
看多

GBP/AUD 1hr-Timeframe – Technical and Fundamental Analysis

56
GBP/AUD 1hr-Timeframe – Technical and Fundamental Analysis

The GBP/AUD pair is showing signs of bullish continuation on the 1-Hr chart, price was also in consolidation phase from previous uptrend following a breakout above a minor resistance level at 2.07200. This price action signals a potential change of character (CHOCH), suggesting bullish momentum is building.

After the breakout, price began consolidating within the 2.07200–2.07440 zone, forming an accumulation pattern that suggests a liquidity grab occurred below prior lows. The price is now approaching a short-term area of interest around 2.07440. A sustained move above this zone could validate bullish continuation, with a target set at the next resistance level near 2.09400. A protective stop-loss is ideally placed below the recent low at 2.06790.

This chart setup reflects a market preparing for potential upside, supported by both technical structure and broader fundamental drivers.

Fundamental Analysis (As of May 19, 2025):
The British Pound has shown strength relative to the Australian Dollar, driven by diverging economic indicators between the UK and Australia.

📈 Key Drivers of GBP Strength vs AUD Weakness:

Strong UK Economic Performance: Recent data out of the UK, including better-than-expected GDP and employment figures, has boosted confidence in the pound.

Dovish RBA Outlook: The Reserve Bank of Australia has hinted at holding or even cutting interest rates due to weak inflation and economic growth.

Chinese Demand Concerns: As a major trading partner, China’s economic slowdown continues to negatively affect Australia’s export-driven economy, especially in commodities.

Falling Commodity Prices: Softness in global demand for key Australian exports like iron ore and coal has added pressure on the AUD.

Weaker Australian fundamentals, including soft job numbers and a dovish RBA, while AUD faces additional pressure as the cash rate forecast dropped to 3.85% from 4.10%.


📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。