GBP/USD Follow-Up Analysis: Trading the False Breakout

116
Recap of Previous GBP/USD Analysis:
Trend: Bullish (Higher highs/lows intact)
Strategy: Look for buy entries at purple zones (preferably false-break setups for higher win rates)
New Price Level: Minor Purple Zone (duo to new price action)

Formed Setup:
Price briefly dipped below support, triggering stops.
False breakout confirmed with a pullback, offering a high-probability long entry.

How to trade False Breakout setups?
  • Entry: On pullback to the reclaimed purple zone (with bullish confirmation)
  • Stop-loss: Below the pullback's low (invalidates the price structure)
  • Target: Previous high or next resistance


Why This Works?
  1. Stop-Hunt Mechanism: Markets often "sweep" liquidity before reversing.
  2. Risk/Reward: Tight stop, clear upside potential.



Educational Takeaway:
False Breakouts = High-Probability Traps: Price breaks support/resistance only to reverse and trap retail traders.


Trade in Trend Direction:
False breakouts with the trend (e.g., bullish GBP/USD) have higher win rates.
Always wait for close beyond the zone + confirmation candle.

免責聲明

這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。