Recap of Previous GBP/USD Analysis:
Trend: Bullish (Higher highs/lows intact)
Strategy: Look for buy entries at purple zones (preferably false-break setups for higher win rates)
New Price Level: Minor Purple Zone (duo to new price action)
Formed Setup:
Price briefly dipped below support, triggering stops.
False breakout confirmed with a pullback, offering a high-probability long entry.
How to trade False Breakout setups?
Why This Works?
Educational Takeaway:
False Breakouts = High-Probability Traps: Price breaks support/resistance only to reverse and trap retail traders.
Trade in Trend Direction:
False breakouts with the trend (e.g., bullish GBP/USD) have higher win rates.
Always wait for close beyond the zone + confirmation candle.
Trend: Bullish (Higher highs/lows intact)
Strategy: Look for buy entries at purple zones (preferably false-break setups for higher win rates)
New Price Level: Minor Purple Zone (duo to new price action)
Formed Setup:
Price briefly dipped below support, triggering stops.
False breakout confirmed with a pullback, offering a high-probability long entry.
How to trade False Breakout setups?
- Entry: On pullback to the reclaimed purple zone (with bullish confirmation)
- Stop-loss: Below the pullback's low (invalidates the price structure)
- Target: Previous high or next resistance
Why This Works?
- Stop-Hunt Mechanism: Markets often "sweep" liquidity before reversing.
- Risk/Reward: Tight stop, clear upside potential.
Educational Takeaway:
False Breakouts = High-Probability Traps: Price breaks support/resistance only to reverse and trap retail traders.
Trade in Trend Direction:
False breakouts with the trend (e.g., bullish GBP/USD) have higher win rates.
Always wait for close beyond the zone + confirmation candle.
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