黃金差價合約(美元/盎司)
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Gold Long first Quarter 2017

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For this trade to hold correct it is crucial that the Dec 15 lows do not get penetrated. As we can see from the chart, this basically classified as a yearly cycle low which since 2013 has always taken place at the end of each calendar year. If these lows hold, which i expect they will, this will mean that we have finally broken pattern of lower lows since 2012.

To further substantiate by quoting indicators that advocate upon the stance:

A) Entering in to a period where the inverse correlation between dollar and gold proves to be strong.

B) Dollar has reached a 13 year peak and showing signs of a reversal from that point for the time being I think it will trade with in a range till the next contraction execution by the FOMC the time and pace which needs to be determined.

C) Yields are beginning to decrease.

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