HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + Confluence

5月14日

HBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process.

Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why.

Elliott Wave Context

HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction:

✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low
✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A

🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside

Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure.

🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone

By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket:

• 0.618 Fib → $0.19212
  
• 0.666 Fib → $0.18926
  

But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence:

• 📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361
  
• 📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229
  
• 📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135
  
• 📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17)
  

Together, they form a tight support band between:

🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926

📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target

Here’s where the magic of planning comes in.

If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move:

📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654

This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target

📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter

In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone.

This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup.

🟢 Long Trade Setup:

• Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926
  
• Stop-Loss: Below $0.185
  
• Take-Profit: $0.28654
  
• R:R: ~10:1
  
• Potential Gain: ~+50%
  

🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension):

If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered:

• Entry: ~$0.286
  
• Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3)
  
• Target: $0.2622
  
• R:R: ~2:1
  

HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built.

Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you.

In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike.
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If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.

5月18日

註釋

HBAR just tapped the daily bullish order block to the dollar — a precise sniper long entry, perfectly bouncing off that zone. This level also aligned with the 0.702 Fib retracement of the previous 5-wave impulse, adding confluence.



The initial long was entered at the golden pocket between the 0.618 and 0.666 levels. The current outlook remains bullish. I've marked three take-profit zones for the long setup:

🔹 The 0.618 retracement of the ABC structure
🔹 A potential retest of that same 0.618 level
🔹 The 0.786 Fib retracement as the final target

Keeping an eye on price reaction at these key levels.

5月19日

註釋

After seeing the shakeout, placing the SL below the anchored VWAP made more sense to me, trade setup remains intact:

5月23日

手動結束交易