JPM Technical Analysis: Earnings Catalyst & Deregulation Boost

4月10日

Context & Market Overview
I'm extremely bullish on JPMorgan Chase (JPM) right now—lots of bullish catalysts are aligning:

- Major deregulation is underway:
- Consumer Financial Protection Bureau dismantled ✅
- Trump's regulatory pivot pre-earnings ✅
- FDIC Acting Chair set to push further deregulation ✅
- Potential Powell pivot (interest rates) in May/June? ❓
- Upgrades by Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs ($280-$300 Price Targets)

Jimmy Dimon is getting superhero-like credit for possibly influencing policy decisions just by his appearance on Fox News! JPM feels like the "Nvidia of finance," positioned strongly amidst this policy pivot.

Weekly Chart
JPM is recovering with overhead resistance to monitor closely:
- Resistance Zones:
- Initial Resistance: $247.75 - $250.00
- Secondary Resistance: $264.00 (Best Price Short)
- Immediate Support Zones:
- Primary Support: $231.50 - $234.30
- Gap Fill Support: Around $228.00

Trading Scenarios

Bullish Scenario (strong deregulation + earnings optimism):
- Entry Trigger: Confirmed bounce and support around $231.50 - $234.30 or gap fill at $228.00.
- Profit Targets:
- Target 1: $247.75 (initial resistance)
- Target 2: $264.00 (next bullish target)
- Stop Loss:
- Below $227.00 to manage downside risk carefully.

Bearish Scenario (earnings miss or negative surprises):
- Entry Trigger: Breakdown and confirmed close below $227.00 (gap-fill level).
- Profit Targets:
- Target 1: $215.25 (previous support)
- Target 2: $199.00 (major support level)
- Stop Loss:
- Above $234.50 to protect against bullish recovery.

Personal Trade Idea
Thinking of using call options dated between April 25th to May 2nd to capture potential moves without overly tight expiry pressure—same-day/week options have been challenging for my portfolio. This looks compelling, especially if JPM’s deregulation tailwinds and earnings momentum play out.

Final Thoughts
The setup for JPM is highly appealing due to regulatory catalysts, earnings anticipation, and analyst optimism. Nonetheless, volatility remains high, so risk management is essential. This analysis is my personal view—posting to hold myself accountable!

📢 Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice, a recommendation, or an endorsement to buy or sell any security. All investments carry risk, and you should do your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Options involve significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.

4月11日

手動結束交易

Closed for a modest gain, did not have an upbeat/good feeling going into today with the damper outlook and China tariffs. I called into the conference call and listened to analysts' questions; it showed how uncertain and scared people are. We are a little late, but Jamie Dimon 2022 changed the tone on the economy, Saying He Now Sees a Hurricane.

The saying goes, history does not repeat.... but it rhymes.