MATIC - The one token not to hold in 2023

2023年5月1日

Hype does not begin to cover it (links way below). Am reminded of ADA bulls at three dollars and above after rallying from 3 cents or Ethereum from 180 dollars to 4.5k. Greed is a powerful emotion and in full swing.

“Is your 5 cent idea still valid?”
“You’re prediction is wrong”
“Get a real job you’re crap at this!”

A flavour of the messages that are received weekly on this token. Cute, irrelevant, and filled with emotion.

When the Cardano and Ethereum short ideas were published (ideas below) the market euphoria was effervescent. I remember messages at three dollar ADA telling me it was going to 30. I reminded said individual that would result in a market cap larger than many top 100 S&P 500 companies. It was that insane.

Why so bearish on MATIC? For the exact same reasons as ADA and ETH at the time. Now the public ideas shared on tradingview.com don’t show anywhere near the level of study that is happening, which generally leads to a lot of assumptions. One of those areas of study is the Bitcoin pair with said token.

2-week chart on ADA/BTC before collapsing from three dollars


2-week chart on MATIC - spot the difference?


Is it possible price action continues up? Sure.
Is it probable? No in bright neon blink blink.

Ww

Hype links from the bros ;)

youtube.com/watch?v=UOD6DC1Qicg

youtube.com/watch?v=7khl9aMFoyQ

2023年5月1日

註釋

Someone asked, "Why din't you have a long idea before it went 100x?"

Right here people..

2023年5月10日

註釋

PS: Don't be surprised should price action go to 1.20 area to backtest the wedge.

4-day

2023年6月7日

交易進行

A significant break of market structure now confirmed.

2023年6月10日

註釋

A few folks asking about the target still. Yes, 5 cents it is. 40% down since the idea was published. What more convincing do you need?

2023年6月20日

交易進行

Weekly and 10-day GRM support has failed.

Wait for 5 cents.

2023年6月20日

註釋

PS: There will be a relief rally to 70 cent perhaps more before downtrend continues.

2023年7月13日

交易進行

relief rally complete

2023年7月26日

註釋

Don't get caught up on the euphoria, 40% drop incoming...

2023年8月22日

註釋

Only another 20% to go until the 40% drop mentioned above is complete.

Will that be the buying opportunity? Or just a breathier until more correction?

2023年9月18日

註釋

A big week for MATIC bulls. On the weekly MATIC-BTC chart price action is testing market structure.

For the Bulls
A weekly candle body must not print below the upper black line. IF it does, price action free falls to the next support level, a 70% correction.

For the Bears
A strong bounce from the upper black line is not what you want to see. IF the bounce prints a higher high, close the short.

Weekly

2023年10月1日

註釋

Expecting a push up to 60 cents perhaps 70 however it should be treated as a exit opportunity. Don't forget the higher time frames have confirmed broken market structure.

2023年10月22日

註釋

MATIC is very oversold. A strong relief rally is still expected. The MATIC bulls will offer a 2nd exit opportunity, be patient.

2023年11月8日

交易進行

Exit between 84 and 94 cents.

2023年12月19日

註釋

The exit call was spot on.

The "One token not to hold in 2023" is unable to finish the year higher than it started despite Bitcoin doubling in value. Less we forget the bullish comments below on the fundamentals, don't get me started ;-)




3-day

2024年1月10日

手動結束交易

“MATIC - The one token not to hold in 2023”

Was this the right call?

Yes. Price action is not only lower but has not enjoyed the multiple x gains seen by many other tokens. Indeed, inflation adjusted the real dollar VALUE is much lower.

Will 2024 be the year for MATIC? Stay tuned.