Calling the $MSFT top here. See you sub $200

2023年11月8日

The popular narrative is that MSFT is going to benefit from AI and if there's a downturn, the stock will hold up.

I have a different view. I think we've topped here and will only see lower prices going forward.

Over the next year, I anticipate MSFT's price dropping sub $200 to the support levels on the chart.

Only thing that would change my bias is a push above the resistance line and flipping it as support.

Let's see how it plays out.

2023年11月8日

註釋

Bought $362.50 puts for 11/17 expiration just to play the short term downside.

2023年11月14日

註釋

Rebought $362.50 puts w/ entry at $371, expiration 12/01

2023年11月16日

註釋

One last push either tomorrow or Monday to $385. Will add there to the short term position I bought and add a 4/19/24 close to ITM put

2023年11月17日

註釋

Oh no... Sam Altman fired from OpenAI. The only bullish hope gone.

2023年11月22日

註釋

Added:
MSFT 04/19/2024 365.00 P

2023年11月28日

註釋

Could see that last push to $385 happening today. That will be the area that should sell off quickly should it get hit.

Everyone take note of StockMed's comments... going to be fun watching the reversal.

That's why you don't comment daily price action on a weekly chart. The real money comes from being right over the next 6 months.

2023年11月29日

註釋

lol exactly. Might see one more retest as we only got 2 and I'd expect 3 before it really falls. Let's see what happens the rest of the day.

2023年11月29日

註釋

Also a possibility that we keep falling the rest of the day and come back and hit it tomorrow.

2023年11月30日

註釋

Welp... MSFT just wants to keep falling after tagging $385. Let's see where it goes next.

2023年12月5日

註釋

Trend officially down. Got our first red Heikin Ashi weekly candle with the reversal.

2023年12月14日

註釋

Must be a rough day when everything is going up except for MSFT... Maybe because we already topped :(