Analysis : Nifty 6% Up already - Why ? & Rising wedge Formation

已更新
Nifty is having clear rising wedge in Uptrend and they breakout downside mostly, sometimes known as " Bear Rising Wedge". But we also have GST bill passage coming week which will be major news for Nifty.

There is popular adage in trading community - " Buy the Rumour, Sell the Fact ". In My Opinion, [may not be right also] , Nifty has already imbibed the GST bill thats why it moved from 8000's to 8600's in 30days which is almost 6%...Hold your Breath - more to come to blow your mind, Nifty moved from 6800's to 8600's [1800pts] within 150 days which is 25% UpMove, Whooping right ? In 5 months, your capital should have grown by 25%. Markets are at peak already with many stocks at 52 week highs. Do you smell something here ? Seems like Buying the rumor has already happened and now its time to Sell the fact ??. In my opinion, Market has already factored in positive momentum of Bill [Buying the Rumour] but still there may be little move left till 9000 but not sure.
Expect some major correction after the bill passage bcos market never came down more than 2% in the current bullish rally. So Nifty is just waiting for tipping point to crash aggressively but when immediately after bill passage or sometime later is not known.
Here in this chart we have bearish rising wedge, so who knows probably its the tipping point, bcos next week with bill passage a small rally up n a crash ? Whatever it is if it breaks-out I will short Nifty as per my usual trading plan. Fundamental Analysis is to give an overall view n Technical analysis is to Trade.

This topic is wide open for discussion, I welcome your views n comments..Feel free to drop a line...
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Happy Trading !!
註釋
Beginning of End [bullrun] ?? Anyways happened as predicted...Enjoy the Game !
註釋
Seems wedge did its magic..look out for 8500's after small pullback up
BANKNIFTYbreakoutNIFTYnifty50niftyindianiftytrendRising Wedge

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