Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday

🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday 🔴

“Deep Dive Below 25K – Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?”

As we discussed yesterday, a big move was on the cards — and Nifty delivered.

The index started flat to negative, and from the opening tick, sellers took firm control. It sharply broke through multiple key supports: PDC, PDL, S1, the important 25,080–25,060 support zone, swing low, 25,000–24,980, and even 24,965.

Buyers finally showed up near 24,920, a crucial level, and pulled off a modest 86-point recovery. The session ended at 24,968.40, still below the psychological 25,000 mark and the fractal swing low of July 14.

🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels




🔍 Mixed Signals:

✅ Positive: Today’s low aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement from the June 13 low to June 30 high — potential support zone.

✅ Positive: RSI(3 of 3) shows bullish divergence — early reversal sign?

❌ Negative: Closed below July 14 swing low — weak structural signal.

❌ Negative: Below 25,000 — psychological breakdown.

❓Now the big question: Will this bearish move continue, or is it a fakeout before reversal?

You're still bullish on the overall daily trend, but tactically bearish for intraday until a close above 25,125 confirms strength.

🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart For Additional View




🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels




🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,108.55

High: 25,144.60

Low: 24,918.65

Close: 24,968.40

Change: −143.05 (−0.57%)

📊 Candle Structure Breakdown

Real Body: 140.15 pts → Large red bearish body

Upper Wick: 36.05 pts → rejection near early highs

Lower Wick: 49.75 pts → dip buying near 24,920

🔍 Interpretation

Mildly negative open with early strength attempt near 25,140

Sharp decline through major support zones

Buyers stepped in at 24,920, but recovery lacked follow-through

Close below 25K and key swing low confirms steady intraday selling pressure

🕯 Candle Type

Strong Bearish Candle with both wicks — sellers dominated, but not without some resistance from buyers at the lows.

📌 Key Insight

Short-term bearish momentum confirmed

24,920–24,890 is next critical support; breakdown may extend to 24,882–24,825

Bulls need to close above 25,125+ to reclaim control

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart




⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update

ATR: 181.56

IB Range: 126.45 → Medium IB

Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced

🟢 Trades Triggered:

09:42 AM – Short Trade → ✅ Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1 : 3.87)

📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:

• 24,980 ~ 25,000
  
  
• 25,080 ~ 25,060
  
  
• 25,125
  
  
• 25,168
  
  
• 25,180 ~ 25,212
  

Support Levels:

• 24,965
  
  
• 24,894 ~ 24,882
  
  
• 24,825
  
  
• 24,800 ~ 24,768
  

💭 Final Thoughts

“Sometimes markets fall not to reverse, but to recharge.”
Today’s drop pierced major support zones, but the bounce from 0.618 Fib hints at possible resilience.
Structure needs clarity — Monday’s session will reveal whether this was a trap or fuel for bears.

✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.