Nifty Analysis EOD – June 12, 2025 – Thursday

🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 12, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
📉 Range Breakout on Expiry – Bears Steal the Show

As highlighted in yesterday’s note — “Watch 25,222 on the upside and 25,080 on the downside for breakout” — Thursday’s expiry session decisively broke the range to the downside, unleashing a sharp bearish move.

Nifty opened strong at 25,164.45, briefly tested 25,196, but once again failed to challenge 25,200. The rejection triggered a slide to 25,083, and shortly after, the critical support of 25,080 gave way. This breakdown triggered long unwinding and fresh shorts, accelerating the fall all the way to 24,825.90 — a sharp 197-point drop.

Though there was a brief 90-point retracement, that too was sold into, and the index closed at 24,888.20 (adjusted), very close to the day’s low. This fall filled the Gaps created on June 6 and 9, and settled around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (based on June 3 low to June 11 high).

With such a close, the market signals a strong shift in sentiment. Going ahead, 24800–24768 becomes a critical support zone. Bulls now need to reclaim and close above 25,020 to regain any strength. Until then, bias remains bearish.

🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels



🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart



🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown

Open: 25,164.45

High: 25,196.20

Low: 24,825.90

Close: 24,888.20

Net Change: −253.20 (−1.01%)


📊 Candle Structure Breakdown

Real Body: 276.25 pts → 🔴 Strong Red Candle

Upper Wick: 31.75 pts

Lower Wick: 62.30 pts


🔍 Interpretation

Bears dominated from start to finish, with hardly any resistance from the bulls.

The close near the day’s low reinforces strong bearish sentiment.

The lower wick is minimal — buying interest was absent post-selloff.

🔦 Candle Type
🔥 Bearish Marubozu–like Candle– Reflects powerful downside momentum and strong seller conviction.

📌 Key Insight
The candle wipes out 3 sessions of buildup — textbook bearish breakdown.

Support at 24,820–24,850 is critical. A breakdown from here could invite deeper correction.

Only a close above 25,020 can negate this bearish tone. Otherwise, weakness may persist.

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart



⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update

ATR: 252.81

IB Range: 131.4 → Medium IB

Market Structure: Balanced

Trades:✅ 11:10 AM – Short Triggered → Target Achieved, Trailing SL Hit (RR: 1:4.65)


📌 Support & Resistance Zones


Resistance Levels

24,920

24,972 ~ 25,000

25,060 ~ 25,080

25,102

25,125

25,180 ~ 25,212


Support Levels

24,820

24,800 ~ 24,768

24,735 ~ 24,725

24,660

24,640 ~ 24,625


💭 Final Thoughts
With a decisive range breakdown and expiry volatility behind us, the battle zone shifts to 24,800–25,000. Expect more pressure if bulls fail to reclaim 25,020.

🧠 “Markets don’t wait forever at the edge of range—they break, and break hard.”

✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.