Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday

🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
"False Hopes, True Drop – Bears Tighten Their Grip"

Nifty opened with a mild 50-point gap-up, but within the very first minute, that optimism was crushed. It dropped nearly 100 points, breaching the previous day’s low, and entered the key support zone of 25405–25418, which held briefly for about half an hour.

But this wasn’t a day for bulls.
After a weak attempt to recover from the 25360 support (which held twice intraday), sellers regained momentum, dragged the index further down, and finally closed at the lowest point of the day – 25348.

🔸 Expiry volatility played its part — trapping option buyers and luring them into false reversals.
🔸 However, quick scalpers and intraday short-sellers likely capitalized well.
🔸 The structure was decisively bearish, with no meaningful intraday bounce.

Tomorrow becomes crucial.

Bulls have one last stronghold at the 25300 level.

Bears, already in charge, may extend the damage further if this breaks.

⚠️ Bias Levels:

🟢 Bullish above: 25420

🔴 Bearish below: 25290

⚪ Between = Neutral / Watch Mode


🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels




🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels




🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown

Open: 25,511.65

High: 25,524.05

Low: 25,340.45

Close: 25,355.25

Change: −120.85 (−0.47%)


📊 Candle Structure Breakdown

Real Body: 156.40 points – large red candle

Upper Wick: 12.40 points – minimal bullish push

Lower Wick: 14.80 points – bears kept pressure till close


🔍 Interpretation

Bears took over early and never let go

The close at day low shows strong conviction from sellers

Lack of significant wicks → no real fight from bulls

🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Marubozu-style candle – clear sign of dominance by sellers, and potential for continuation if no quick reversal

📌 Key Insight

Market is in a critical zone — hovering above the edge of deeper correction

25300–25290 is the line in the sand

A breakdown below can target 25,200–25,250

Bulls can only regain momentum above 25,420

🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart



⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update

ATR: 189.49

IB Range: 113.75 → Medium IB

Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced

Trades Triggered

10:52 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trail SL Hit (R:R 1:0.38)

📌 Support & Resistance Zones

Resistance Levels

25,380

25,405 ~ 25,418

25,470 ~ 25,480

25,530

25,545 ~ 25,550

Support Levels

25,315 ~ 25,295

25,260

25,212 ~ 25,180

25,125

💭 Final Thoughts
"Expiry days often blur the picture, but today’s price action was sharp. Unless bulls step up quickly, the breakdown may just be getting started."

✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.