Despite Friday, the markets had a positive week. Think next move is higher as test, prior to next drop. My Thursday Post was 1 day late and for Friday. Looking at Monday, going with pop/drop. The MOP (channel prior to 100 point move) have been reliable, the circles are potential MOP's and the oval was the previous MOP that developed the drop. That is what I was suggesting in the Thursday Post, just did not have the conviction as to the MOP indication new. I many times will go counter trend against the 1 way snail NAZ (I need to work on that). I just do not fear this index. Below, failure at 908 may target 706. Regarding Rigger's (add my digs at that reference), I am connecting it to Option Houses and institutions that use. If any of you are familiar and know of some good (non retail trader) books, let me know.
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Box Update KL's are lines:註釋
Box 2 year, NAZ still playing in the Channel.註釋
Box Forecast註釋
1st move may be lower, when Yellow Dots are higher than White, usually the case.註釋
Gap Open, Mop it.註釋
DB at Lower TLX, above lower target. Above thick white TL is key.註釋
Playing the MOP, Shorting under orange line on white peaks is working IDS 27.註釋
Noticed this on Friday, IDS 20 is showing better lines than IDS 27. I use lower number in holiday or O/N volume. Kinda of odd here, bu showing better. The box is a view of clear signals and prior is choppy noise. 註釋
TLX 10979 is Long above and Short below for now. O/N looking like a 80 point MOP or Channel, 35 is Mid Level, may bounce if stays above 35. Target trading, longs to target and get out, same on shorts.註釋
11044 is Friday low and bounce off to top MOP is likely. NAZ did fill the GAP and may retest.註釋
IDS 50, yellow lines are KL's from Friday, NAZ may work these on any lift. 註釋
IDS 20, NAZ at TOP MOP, may retest Mid Level.註釋
White arrow shows prior Divergence on IDS 27, slight developing now, close stop on Long. Could be PB and not s Short.註釋
Stepping away, you can see why I think trading the MOP is more lucrative than waiting for the runners. Channel trading is highly probable/reliable. I tend to use 3-5 times normal contract size when playing. Here at top MOP (80), NAZ may whip up/down 10-15 below 80, then drop back to 35 for a test and bounce back to 80.註釋
One more note: Usually when Yellow Dot is above White a drop is coming and rarely the opposite is true of a decent POP. Anyway, a big move is on the way.註釋
Break 80, target 11136.註釋
Got to 30, 40 next after PB.註釋
Out of MOP should be 100 plus, may reset 80 during Open.註釋
36 hit.註釋
Above blue is long.註釋
11201 is upper target above blue.註釋
Long above 11020. Back to top MOP.註釋
Lower circle hit, look Long.註釋
11000 target. Should low hold.註釋
NAZ should test bottom of 1st 30M.註釋
Long above 10960 to 11000註釋
Pass 11000, should see 11060. Relatively tight range from Friday and O/N low. 20 points off O/N low.註釋
Push Pull should end passed 11000註釋
Push Pull over.註釋
11000 hit註釋
Drop/Pop, should rotate some and lift. Stepping away.註釋
Big move out of lower Circle.註釋
Long at 10910, will target 960. Counter moves are basically similar to Trend moves. More of a snap and can catch momentum and run after a long drop.註釋
If you are playing counters, use targets and stops. Watch the Ticks.註釋
Divergence on Long Side showing up on IDS 27. Should Snap Here.註釋
Ba Bingo!註釋
May see Pop Gaps to upside. NAZ needs to get higher in order to get lower. sounds strange but is what it is.註釋
NAZ PA will get confusing here, think upside down or reverse. Will try for a rally some.註釋
Target 60 Hit. This should be 1 way Runner. Trail it as many will hop on late.註釋
This is some beyond basic trading and a good example for you to remember, BLOCK the noise.註釋
Big Gaps should continue as the Shorts cover and BTD's step in. Could be a Pop test so trail it.註釋
White arrow is Long Call, 11201 is 1st target, then 11289.註釋
NAZ can't get passed mid of original MOP.註釋
手動結束交易
Will do in O/N註釋
Hopefully you took profit neat 44.註釋
Playing counter moves produced more points than NAZ decline. Soon the selling will give way.註釋
Today you will notice the Play TL's in opposite direction was once again reliable. KL now is red TLX at 10979. 908 did bounce to 043.註釋
O/N Bullish Divergence (potentially), never know with O/N. 9:15PM CT
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