✅ Summary of Top-Down Analysis:
🟢 Daily (Macro Bias):
Bias: Neutral → Leaning Bullish
Context:
MACD and price both made lower lows (convergence = no divergence, but momentum weakening).
Price hit strong support at 16,457.
Bullish close post-FOMC + macro catalyst (Trump’s tariff changes) = positive sentiment.
Key note: China-specific tariff at 125% could inject volatility, possibly sector-specific.
🟠 4HR:
Bias: Bullish
Confluence:
Higher high in price and MACD = bullish momentum confirmed.
Price reclaimed structure after failed low.
Approaching last week's POC → possible liquidity grab + continuation.
4HR bullish imbalance could be a key reaction zone (support).
🔴 1HR:
Bias: Bullish
Context:
Clear bullish structure + MACD higher high.
Aligned with 4HR bullish flow = continuation potential.
🔵 15min:
Bias: Bullish
Micro Context:
Structure and MACD aligned → price above previous NY POC = showing strength into next session.
May look to use NY POC or VWAP pullbacks for entry.
🎯 Gameplan Suggestions:
Scenario 1 – Continuation Entry:
Look for pullbacks into 4HR imbalance zone or 15m demand + VWAP area.
Use MACD + price action confirmation for entry (e.g., engulfing, break of lower highs).
Targets: swing high above 4HR structure + liquidity zones.
Scenario 2 – Reversal Risk:
If price shows exhaustion near last week’s POC, especially with MACD divergence on lower timeframes → consider a quick short scalp or stay flat until new structure forms.
👀 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 16,457 = macro support
🔹 Last week’s POC = near-term resistance/liquidity
🔹 Bullish 4HR imbalance zone (mark this for entries)
🔹 Previous NY POC / VWAP area = short-term entry pullback zone
🟢 Daily (Macro Bias):
Bias: Neutral → Leaning Bullish
Context:
MACD and price both made lower lows (convergence = no divergence, but momentum weakening).
Price hit strong support at 16,457.
Bullish close post-FOMC + macro catalyst (Trump’s tariff changes) = positive sentiment.
Key note: China-specific tariff at 125% could inject volatility, possibly sector-specific.
🟠 4HR:
Bias: Bullish
Confluence:
Higher high in price and MACD = bullish momentum confirmed.
Price reclaimed structure after failed low.
Approaching last week's POC → possible liquidity grab + continuation.
4HR bullish imbalance could be a key reaction zone (support).
🔴 1HR:
Bias: Bullish
Context:
Clear bullish structure + MACD higher high.
Aligned with 4HR bullish flow = continuation potential.
🔵 15min:
Bias: Bullish
Micro Context:
Structure and MACD aligned → price above previous NY POC = showing strength into next session.
May look to use NY POC or VWAP pullbacks for entry.
🎯 Gameplan Suggestions:
Scenario 1 – Continuation Entry:
Look for pullbacks into 4HR imbalance zone or 15m demand + VWAP area.
Use MACD + price action confirmation for entry (e.g., engulfing, break of lower highs).
Targets: swing high above 4HR structure + liquidity zones.
Scenario 2 – Reversal Risk:
If price shows exhaustion near last week’s POC, especially with MACD divergence on lower timeframes → consider a quick short scalp or stay flat until new structure forms.
👀 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 16,457 = macro support
🔹 Last week’s POC = near-term resistance/liquidity
🔹 Bullish 4HR imbalance zone (mark this for entries)
🔹 Previous NY POC / VWAP area = short-term entry pullback zone
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