This is an intraday model using a moving weighted average of historical data. To build this model, I looked at the last 52 Tuesdays and excluded any Tuesday falling on FOMC weeks. I took a straight average of the remaining weeks, save for the last four weeks. Finally, I used a moving weighted average of 15% on each of the last four weeks into the model.
This model shows what is typical behavior and is intended to help hunt for scalping strategies. Of course, it is not a guarantee.
Typically there is a drop at open until the 9:50 interval, followed by a rise. Expect the typical 10:30 drop, followed by choppy/boxy action until the Lunchers return at 1:05, which drops and leads to session lows. Action is choppy and boxable leading up to power hour starting around 2:50 with an uptrend, until price falls to close at 3:30.
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