Correction could go on into next week
註釋
Based on my set of metrics, yesterday registered as 2/3 most oversold condition for the last 5 years! So assuming there is a catalyst to the upside, the chase for performance in the fund space into year end could be massive. This should all come within a deteriorating economic background of growth slowing 4Q18 and 1Q19.. so corrective up註釋
Most likely depending on today/Monday, an undercut low or some other final low next week (similar to Feb 2018). In any way, from a cyclical aspect 2/3 week of Oct was the expected focal point of max selling pressure註釋
The decline from the high represents 61% Fib retrace of the upmove from April 4. Typical deep retrace for a running flat C wave.註釋
Lots of selling last week, but looking at majority of my indicators it does seem a bit more selling is needed next week plus the impulse wave from the high does not look like finished註釋
Another alternative is this to have been 1 and 2 wave of ED which means Wave 3 to start this week..all corrective waves of course註釋
What supports this latter one is that we had a deep retrace to 62% for potentially Wave 2..so Wave 3 starts this week then註釋
Good initial bounce so far註釋
Testing of resistance turned support now at 2780 was succesful. Good..註釋
I am thinking 2966/3015 by year end註釋
Looks like a bearish butterfly pattern tentatively註釋
Very good day today, the reversal above the midline rising註釋
The running correction is not invalidated yet. Tomorrow is critical免責聲明
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免責聲明
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