標準普爾500指數

$SPX Roadmap 2023-2024

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Expecting a choppy year ahead as the second year of quantitative tightening begins. With M2 money supply shrinking and current VIX levels signaling a near term decline in the indexes, Q1 seems gloomy. Soft landing scenario and price targets are my expected year ahead but leave room for a harder landing. A potential white swan is an early end to Russian war which could squeeze the indexes but not enough for new ATH, setting up a short opportunity. Another potential outcome is market chopping in the 4300-3400 range until a climax in 2024-2025 as sovereign and corporate debts have a looming potential crisis ahead.

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