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SPX Peaks at 6,100; Correction Toward 4,600 Likely

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The SPX’s rally, which kicked off at 3,500 in late 2022, climaxed around 6,100 in February 2025.

Since then, the trend has clearly reversed, and I expect the correction to persist. As long as the index remains below 5,800 (supply), downward momentum should continue.

A pullback toward 4,600 by 2026 appears plausible, with that level likely acting as resistance or support—warranting a fresh assessment upon arrival.

In the near term, the SPX is likely to trade within a 5,100–5,700 range.

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