swissyoungtrader

SPX, Expanding Triangle telling us going short?

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SP:SPX   標準普爾500指數
Since the beginning of the year 2018 the index S&P 500 is more or less in a very big correction formation called "expanding triangle". So that is a horizontal correcting wave which in this case is symmetrical (top rising, bottom declining). In my opinion we are still in a bull market, so i think it will be "just" (30%) correction in the S&P, before we start a new rally like in the years 2016 to 2017. When this analysis should fit, we could go to 2100-2200 points. Its likely that the reason is that the FED is waitin with their rate cuts and Xi & Trump will fight again, cause of their trade-war. The markets expect now the best of the best cases, but that wont happen in my opinion. So we will see.

But one thing: when the market has dropped to the to "E", the FED will cut the rates to help them go further up and up. And also Trump could make a "fake" deal with Xi, so just that the markets go up that much that he has a well doing stock market in his election-time ;-) My theory ^^
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