S&P 500: New support confirmed amid fragile global market

2018年7月3日

While walking risk-wise on razor thin ice the "S&P 500" confirmed on Monday, July 2 that the low it made on Thursday, June 28 is the new support. Therefore the market is soon going to test where the price resistance above is. I think this price area might be between 2755-2760 (or higher). I wanted to share this idea before today's open, but ran out of time. At least there is now far more evidence after the strong upmove on July 2 that the market really wants to go higher.

Hopefully there will be a last pullback before the long target gets reached. Due to the fact that the bounce train has started to leave the station - in order to get filled - I recommend the long entry far above Monday's low (which was at 2698.95).

Long entry: 2712.5
Long target: 2755.0
Stop loss: 2696.5

Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.66

2018年7月3日

交易進行

Long order filled at 2712 today (recent intra-day low three hours before the close was 2711.16).

This trade remains very risky because of July 4 being tomorrow, therefore I can only recommend a small position size you are willing to lose.

Worst case would be a sharp drop in global markets happening while US markets are closed for trading in observance of Independence Day. In that worst case the US market would then drop big time like a stone on July 5 with a huge gap down.

FYI: Which markets are closed on July 4th?
marketwatch.com/story/which-markets-are-closed-on-july-4th-2018-07-02

2018年7月6日

交易結束：目標達成

Long target 2755 was not only hit, but also exceeded on July 6. The S&P 500 rallied on Friday up to 2761.76 with four hours left until the end of the trading session.

I closed the long position from 2712 at 2759.