標準普爾500指數

Ratio VXV/VIX and TLT/SPY analysis

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The ratio VXV/VIX can be used to identify possible peaks, occuring within a range of values of 1.20 to 1.32. Corresponding reliable troughs can be determined between 0.85 and 0.95. Presently, trading spans the ratios of 1.08 to 1.24 (could very well go higher w.r.t. the 2140 SPX target).

A very interesting relationship for wave study concerns the bonds/stocks (TLT/SPY) ratio. The clear A-B-C structure is evident, whereby the end of C would correspond to the expected cycle SPX top, followed by a significant correction.

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