The S&P 500 (
SPX500) continues to respect the newly drawn regression channel after breaking above both descending resistance and AI-based mid-zones. Price is now moving in alignment with the prevailing sentiment bias, indicating potential momentum toward the 6,156–6,167 extension range.
🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout from a compressed structure
VWAP reclaims confirm market strength
Regression channel suggests controlled ascent
1.236 Fib projection at 6,062.22 aligns with short-term resistance
Higher confluence targets: 6,156.60 and 6,167.02
📉 Risk Levels:
Breakdown below 6,007 or re-entry into the prior wedge would invalidate this view short term.
🔍 Follow US, WaverVanir_International_LLC for more high-precision confluence maps, risk models, and macro-aligned quant setups.
SPX500) continues to respect the newly drawn regression channel after breaking above both descending resistance and AI-based mid-zones. Price is now moving in alignment with the prevailing sentiment bias, indicating potential momentum toward the 6,156–6,167 extension range.🧠 Key Observations:
Breakout from a compressed structure
VWAP reclaims confirm market strength
Regression channel suggests controlled ascent
1.236 Fib projection at 6,062.22 aligns with short-term resistance
Higher confluence targets: 6,156.60 and 6,167.02
📉 Risk Levels:
Breakdown below 6,007 or re-entry into the prior wedge would invalidate this view short term.
🔍 Follow US, WaverVanir_International_LLC for more high-precision confluence maps, risk models, and macro-aligned quant setups.
註釋
註釋
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Here’s a high-reward, low-risk options play based on your SPX500 regression breakout chart. This setup assumes the bullish trend continuation toward the 6,156–6,167 resistance zone holds, with clearly defined invalidation below 6,007.54.🎯 Options Strategy: SPX Call Debit Spread (Bull Call Spread)
Targeting: 6,150–6,160
DTE: 5–7 days (short-term momentum)
Trade Date: June 16–17, 2025
🔧 Trade Construction
Buy SPX 6,100 Call
Sell SPX 6,160 Call
Expiration: June 21, 2025
Net Debit (Estimated): $20–$25 per spread (depending on IV and timing)
Max Profit: $40–$45
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2.0
Breakeven: 6,120
🧠 Why This Works
You're capitalizing on bullish continuation without overpaying for high IV near-the-money calls.
The spread reduces theta decay and volatility risk while keeping exposure directional.
Ideal for swing trades within defined regression channels and technical validation.
✅ Trigger Conditions
Price must hold above 6,007.54 on 1H close
Continuation volume and structure above 6,040 confirm entry
🛡️ Risk Management
If SPX closes below 6,007 intraday, cut or scale out.
Adjust to a butterfly or vertical hedge if price stalls at 6,100–6,120.
交易進行
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