The dollar peaked and broke down on October 1, 2019 10pm as Fed Fund Futures indicate a jump in probability from 39% to 62%. This was a good signal to go long EUR and buy the pullbacks on an hourly timeframe.
Probabilities of a 150-175 Target Rate on October 30, 2019
09/30/2019 0 0.395517
10/01/2019 0 0.62
10/02/2019 0 0.769655
10/03/2019 0 0.887241
Source: CME FedWatch Tool cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
Probabilities of a 150-175 Target Rate on October 30, 2019
09/30/2019 0 0.395517
10/01/2019 0 0.62
10/02/2019 0 0.769655
10/03/2019 0 0.887241
Source: CME FedWatch Tool cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
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