S&P500 Approaching its new long-term bottom

On our last week analysis for the S&P500 Index (SPX) we called for the start of the correction within this long-term Channel Up pattern:

As you see the timing was spot on and the price broke below both the middle of the Channel Up and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Along with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), the latter is close to forming a Death Cross on the 4H time-frame, which is a bearish pattern. The last time this was formed was on December 19 2022 and it was the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern.

The 1D RSI is already reversing, though the 1D MACD shows there might still be a few days left before bottoming. On an R/R basis, the risk is low buying on the 4H Death Cross formation, and this is what we will do, getting the most optimal long-term buy entry. Our first target is the middle of the Channel Up (4050) and upon a 4H MA200 re-test as Support, the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel as an extension (4250).


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