SPY and the 45-52d pullback schedule

Alright guys I'm the contrarian here and saying that its time for this market to take a 5%-7% retracement. We are nearing that 45 day period and noticing the last 2 retracements the happened between 45-55days from the uptrend. We are at that point. AND the market is dancing on razor wire meaning if Trump so much as coughs that China deal is not going to work...lets just say you better not be long. My opinion is that he is not going to budge on the China deal and the tariffs will remain in place. As one CNBC analysis put it...trade at your own risk on this one...like I said a whisper will send this price flying in either direction.
Short with some Vertical Call Spreads - minimize the lose if I'm wrong.