Looking to short USD/CHF next week based on a few key factors:
US Economic Weakness: If US data comes in weaker (e.g., lower GDP growth, soft inflation), the USD may lose strength, reducing the likelihood of further aggressive rate hikes from the Fed.
Safe-Haven Demand for CHF: The Swiss franc could strengthen if market sentiment turns risk-off, driven by global uncertainty or geopolitical tension, as investors flock to safer assets.
Technical Setup: USD/CHF has recently hit resistance levels (e.g., near 0.9300-0.9400). Look for signs of overbought conditions (RSI above 70, bearish divergence) for potential short entry.
Key Risk: If US economic data surprises to the upside or the Fed signals continued hawkish stance, USD could strengthen, posing a risk to the short.
Conclusion: Short USD/CHF if US data weakens and safe-haven demand supports CHF. Watch resistance levels for entry, and keep an eye on the upcoming economic calenda
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