Fundamental Market Analysis for May 30, 2025 USDJPY

The Japanese yen (JPY) attracted strong follow-through buying for the second consecutive day on Friday and continued to recover from a two-week low reached the previous day against the US dollar. Global risk sentiment deteriorated after a federal appeals court on Thursday suspended a recent ruling blocking US President Donald Trump's radical tariffs. This is evident from the general weakening of sentiment in the stock markets and is contributing to a recovery in demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the JPY.

Meanwhile, optimistic macroeconomic data from Japan released today, including strong consumer inflation figures in Tokyo, confirm the need for further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (JPY) and provide additional support for the JPY. On the other hand, the US dollar (USD) is consolidating after a sharp reversal yesterday amid concerns about the deterioration of the US financial situation and bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will stick to its easing policy. This further contributes to the continued decline of the USD/JPY pair.

Trading recommendation: SELL 143.800, SL 144.200, TP 142.900