美元 / 日圓
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DeGRAM | USDJPY fixed above the descending channel

192
📊 Technical Analysis
● Dollar-yen has punched through the 16-month descending channel top and twice retested it as support (false-break tags), carving a rising trend line that now guides price away from 144.90.
● Inside the break zone a smaller pennant is forming; a 4 h close above 147.18 completes the pattern and activates the channel-height target at 150.80 near the November swing cap.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 2-yr yields pushed to a three-month high after hotter CPI core-services and Barkin’s “inflation progress has stalled”, while the BoJ July minutes flagged only “gradual” QT—widening the policy gap and reviving carry demand for yen shorts.

Summary
Long 145.2-146.2; pennant break >147.18 targets 150.80. Bias void on a 4 h close below 142.80.

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