- Price is approaching first important key supp/res at 103-103,85 zone
- haDelta is about to give a very early signal for possible momentum chill down for next few days
- setup is still neutral to
- EWO is still red
I don't say you necessarely have to close the longs. Maybe just take 1/3 off, and trail stop for the ballance.
If by some reason (e.g. strong price action after NFP, or some new magic from BoJ) price breaks above Kijun Sen, and EWO turns green, then we may have start of a "trend reversal" on the . Please remember, for a real trend reversal price also has to break above Kumo cloud, and make a higher high, so close above 107,40.
I doubt such a trend reversal could take place at a sudden, given the fact that long term strategic setup on weekly chart is still extremely ( pls see prev post)
As always, risk management is the most important.
Note: before you think how rich this trade made me let me inform those who still do not follow me on Twitter, that in fact I was very unlucky. Before Yellen speach I moved my stop to flat... of course it was triggered. This was a mistake as I only had 0,5 unit position, so really not much risk. Should have kept my original stop, as per my rules.
The next problem was that I did not pay attention to the 4H breakout above 101, as I was busy shorting bond market. Obviously Bond mkt is at same level, while USDJPY is higher.
I hope some of you still made money on this trade idea. :-)