A 62.24 short is reasonable, given the recent high of the day being 62.0485, and the low being 61.9385. Also, even though the 1 month and 1 day correlations have been negative, the market spread looks like it will likely become positive correlations fairly soon. This is given that less people seem to be indicating to trade against it leading to a small positive correlation in prices. As a Forex pair, I would still say it is overall medium to high risk given some of the recent fluctuations.
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