USOIL, let's check the big perspective

2021年7月5日

Today we will take a look at the weekly chart of USOIL. Here we will not analyze short-term movements; of course, we will be thinking about the possible paths we can see in the future for the commodity using several months as the main reference.

The price is getting close to a major resistance zone where we have observed huge bearish movements in the past—30% decline in July 2006 and a 45% decline in October 2018. However, we should also think about the idea that the price breaks this resistance zone. What should we do there?

If the price breaks the resistance zone, we have a clear scenario in the past that we can use as a reference (MAY 2010). The idea here is to wait for a clear breakout and then a retest of the resistance zone. We will have a clear correction to trade towards the next resistance zone at 110USD per barrel if that happens.

The main concept in this post is showing that one-sided analysis tends to fail because NOBODY knows what the price will make. However, we can get ready for two or three scenarios in the future and wait for those conditions to happen. And if your filters are not fulfilled, don't worry; you have more than 5000 assets on Tradingview to keep looking for great opportunities.


Thanks for reading, and feel free to share your view in the comments!