mxb1961

Interesting ADX pattern to watch for

mxb1961 已更新   
TVC:USOIL   WTI 原油差價合約
During the past several weeks, I've noticed something evolve in crude oil on the daily ADX called a 'change in dominance'. This is where the ADX is above 20 and the +/-DMI swap dominance resulting is a 'V' type ending to a trend. The setup for the pattern was an ADX reading below 20 resulting in a consolidation in price. Then, price broke out and ADX began to move up. Then, without much of a pullback, price reversed and the -DMI crossed up over the +DMI causing the change in dominance. During this time, price was pulling back but the +DMI was still up so waiting for the two DMI's to cross would have resulted in missed trade.

Looking out across other markets now, I see a similar setup in Soybean Oil (which I'm trading on short side). If this is a similar pattern, then two of the three steps have completed and this week should see price move down.


DXY is another market that could be setting up the same pattern. It will be interesting this week to see how this plays out. Should it work, it could be an interesting pattern to tuck away for future reference


British Pound may be another candidate for this pattern.

評論:
Another example of this in action using Treasury Bonds TYX:

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