Wood Raw Material Price Outlook & Its Impact on Pellet Prices

🔍 Chart Highlights:
Historical pellet price references:

2000: €200/ton

2014: €273/ton

2016: €217/ton

Recent upward trend since COVID-19 dip, known as the “Coronadip”, reflects increasing demand and market correction.

Forecasted pellet price levels based on raw material trends:

Minimum projection: €291/ton

Expected projection: €328/ton

Maximum projection: €352/ton

Producer Price Index (PPI) data suggests a return to long-term growth after a temporary peak and correction in 2021–2023.

📈 Outlook:
Pellet prices have shown a consistent upward trend over the past four years. However, this pace is likely unsustainable. A further price increase is expected in the short term, driven by raw material costs and market sentiment.

Depending on market conditions, an average increase between 10% and 42% is projected — a range typically anticipated by institutional investors in commodity sectors.

📌 Note: This chart reflects raw material price trends. Final product prices may differ due to manufacturing, logistics, and retail markups.