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7/1 Gold Analysis and PMI Data Trading Strategy

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Good afternoon, everyone!

Gold has now entered a resistance zone, and on the 30-minute chart, a technical correction appears likely. This correction typically takes one of two forms:

A direct pullback from current levels;

A minor upward push before the pullback, intensifying the need for correction.

In most cases, the second scenario doesn’t result in a large move—unless it’s accompanied by strong news. Given this setup, today’s trading idea is to:

Start with a small short position near current resistance;

Add to the position if price pushes slightly higher, and patiently wait for a pullback. This strategy has shown over 80% historical success rate.

Key support levels to watch:

If the price rises before pulling back: 3321–3316

If the price drops directly: 3313–3306

On the 4-hour chart, the rebound is not yet complete, so if the pullback finds solid support, there’s still room for buy-side setups in line with the short-term trend.

⚠️ Important: U.S. PMI data will be released during the New York session. Strategy depends on pre-release price positioning:

If price remains below 3312, and the data is bullish → look for long setups.

If price is above 3323, wait for a post-data rally to sell into.

If the data is bearish → consider selling immediately.

Stay flexible, manage your positions wisely, and trade with discipline ahead of the U.S. session.

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