Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Momentum Faces Correction

4月6日

XAUUSD market has been bullish; however, Friday turned bearish with a nearly 3.8% decline. After such bullish momentum, this pullback seems normal. In the current timeframe, price completed the ABC move, which is typically followed by a pullback—exactly what we've seen recently. On the weekly timeframe, the price formed a long-tailed bar, indicating it may retest the support zone below the 2900 level. However, considering the upward momentum in the market and the fact that price did not close below the previous week's low, this scenario seems less likely.

I believe we're facing a similar scenario to what we saw in the last week of February, when the market fell around 4% but subsequently reached all-time highs. Right now, areas to consider going long include just below the week's low and the psychological level at 3000. Additionally, we have the channel border as well as the upward trendline serving as potential support. Another scenario worth noting is what happened before the US election last November, when prices fell around 9%, which could mean a retest of the 2900 level. Overall, next week the price may move sideways for a couple of days after bearish impulse leg or bounce off the 3000 level.


Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻

4月7日

交易進行

Gold rebounded nicely from the optimal entry zone I highlighted yesterday, bouncing after briefly dipping below the 3000 level. Following the bearish impulse leg from the all-time high, the market appears poised for sideways movement, as consolidation typically follows periods of strong momentum. With no high-impact economic releases scheduled today to inject volatility into the market, this consolidation phase may continue around 3030 price mark. However, if price retest the 3000 psychological level again, we can watch for potential buy signals as the market may begin forming an ABC pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 3090