XAUMO’s Full Confluence Trading Report

XAUMO’s Full Confluence Trading Report


1. MARKET OUTLOOK: Strategic Overview

Time Context: NY session closed. Cairo 09:25. We’re prepping for the next full market cycle.
Trend Context: Market is in bullish short-term uptrend (Wave 3 complete), but entering a high-probability exhaustion zone.
Volatility Outlook: RVOL dropping = market drying. Big moves require caution. Trap potential is high.
Institutional Behavior: Smart money accumulated early, pushed breakout, and likely distributing now.




2. TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE SNAPSHOT

WAVE ANALYSIS:


Wave 1: 3,229 → 3,259 (30 pts)
Wave 2: 3,259 → 3,246 (classic pullback)
Wave 3: 3,246 → 3,300 (extended leg)
Wave 4: Expected pullback to 3,279–3,287 (38.2%)
Wave 5 Targets:
TP1: 3,306 (61.8%)
TP2: 3,317 (equal leg)
TP3: 3,324 (123.6% extension)



HARMONIC PATTERN: Bearish ABCD

AB: 3,229 → 3,259
BC: 3,259 → 3,246 (50–61.8% retrace)
CD (Projected): Equal leg = 3,306
Extended CD (1.272–1.618): 3,324 – 3,325
D Point Completion Zone: 3,306 – 3,325



VSA SIGNALS:


Climactic Volume around 3,300 = distribution
No Demand + Narrow Spread into highs
Potential Upthrust at 3,324 zone = Bearish reversal confirmation
Volume trap forming in RED ZONE




VOLUNACCI ZONES:



Level

Price

Signal

38.2% (Wave 4 support)

3,287

Potential bullish bounce

100% AB=CD

3,306

First exhaustion test

123.6% extension

3,324

KILL ZONE (with volume climax)




3. TRAFFIC LIGHT ZONES – EXECUTION MAP

GREEN

3,279 – 3,287

Buy Wave 4 (bounce zone)


YELLOW

3,306 – 3,316

Be cautious. Watch for trap signs


RED ZONE

3,317 – 3,325

Institutional sell zone (reversal trigger)





4. TRADE SETUPS – PRECISION ENTRY PLANS



A. LONG SETUP – Bounce from Wave 4



Entry: 3,287
SL: 3,275
TP1: 3,306
TP2: 3,317
TP3: 3,324
Trigger: Bullish candle + rising volume @ Fib zone




B. SHORT SETUP – Killshot at Harmonic Completion


Sell Limit: 3,324
SL: 3,331
TP1: 3,300
TP2: 3,287
TP3: 3,259
Trigger: Upthrust / Bearish Engulfing / VSA confirmation




You now have:



Full Elliott Wave Map
Harmonic Pattern Completion
VSA Institutional Fingerprint
Volunacci-Driven Entry Zones
Traffic Light Execution Grid




This is a confluence fortress.