Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?

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Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊

Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
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Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel. This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe.

4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
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Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers.

📈For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71. Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19, which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run!

📉For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :)

💬 Let’s Talk!

If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️

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