Bias: Bearish
Date: June 22, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour
⸻
Market Context:
Price recently bounced hard from the 3345.58 demand zone, creating a sharp bullish reaction. However, this bounce appears to be part of a liquidity trap — not a true reversal. The market is now targeting liquidity resting above the 3410.40 supply zone, which remains unmitigated and untouched since the initial drop.
This area holds:
• Trapped sellers’ stop losses
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Institutional sell-side interest
⸻
My Analysis and Bias:
I believe gold (XAU/USD) is preparing to run above the 3410.40 supply zone to collect liquidity. After that sweep, I expect a bearish rejection, followed by a retest of the 3376–3382 region, then a sharp selloff toward multiple downside targets.
This is a smart money model:
1. Push above 3410.40 to trap liquidity.
2. Bearish rejection or engulfing candle signals the reversal.
3. Retest 3376–3382 confirms the lower high and institutional entry.
4. Selloff targets key liquidity pools and fills imbalance zones.
⸻
Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 3410.40 (upon liquidity sweep and rejection)
• Alternate Entry: Bearish engulfing candle rejection from 3376.00–3405.56 zone
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or lower high break of structure
⸻
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1 – 3319.72: Strong demand and previous support
• TP2 – 3305.47: Secondary support and psychological liquidity level
• TP3 – 3248.13: Clean demand zone; structure break target
• TP4 – 3207.14: Imbalance/gap fill from prior bullish move
⸻
Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 3410.40 or after clear bearish confirmation from supply
• Stop Loss: ~3415–3418 (above sweep high)
• TPs: 3319.72 → 3305.47 → 3248.13 → 3207.14
• Risk-to-Reward: 3:1 to 10:1 depending on management
⸻
Final Thoughts:
“This setup reflects a textbook smart money liquidity grab. The market’s baiting traders into longs just to sweep those highs and reverse into that imbalance around 3207. I’m staying patient, waiting on confirmation then I’ll strike. But until then man, trade simple and live lavish.”
Date: June 22, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour
⸻
Market Context:
Price recently bounced hard from the 3345.58 demand zone, creating a sharp bullish reaction. However, this bounce appears to be part of a liquidity trap — not a true reversal. The market is now targeting liquidity resting above the 3410.40 supply zone, which remains unmitigated and untouched since the initial drop.
This area holds:
• Trapped sellers’ stop losses
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Institutional sell-side interest
⸻
My Analysis and Bias:
I believe gold (XAU/USD) is preparing to run above the 3410.40 supply zone to collect liquidity. After that sweep, I expect a bearish rejection, followed by a retest of the 3376–3382 region, then a sharp selloff toward multiple downside targets.
This is a smart money model:
1. Push above 3410.40 to trap liquidity.
2. Bearish rejection or engulfing candle signals the reversal.
3. Retest 3376–3382 confirms the lower high and institutional entry.
4. Selloff targets key liquidity pools and fills imbalance zones.
⸻
Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 3410.40 (upon liquidity sweep and rejection)
• Alternate Entry: Bearish engulfing candle rejection from 3376.00–3405.56 zone
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or lower high break of structure
⸻
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1 – 3319.72: Strong demand and previous support
• TP2 – 3305.47: Secondary support and psychological liquidity level
• TP3 – 3248.13: Clean demand zone; structure break target
• TP4 – 3207.14: Imbalance/gap fill from prior bullish move
⸻
Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 3410.40 or after clear bearish confirmation from supply
• Stop Loss: ~3415–3418 (above sweep high)
• TPs: 3319.72 → 3305.47 → 3248.13 → 3207.14
• Risk-to-Reward: 3:1 to 10:1 depending on management
⸻
Final Thoughts:
“This setup reflects a textbook smart money liquidity grab. The market’s baiting traders into longs just to sweep those highs and reverse into that imbalance around 3207. I’m staying patient, waiting on confirmation then I’ll strike. But until then man, trade simple and live lavish.”
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免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。