DeGRAM | GOLD kept the rising channel

6月16日

📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rejected the channel roof near 3 435 again, carving a small evening-star and slipping back under the May trend-median 3 370 — a repeat of April/May fades.
● Bearish RSI divergence plus a break of the micro up-sloper (last three sessions) tips for a rotation toward the lower rail/3 295 support; loss of that opens the April pivot at 3 225.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US retail-sales and hawkish Fed comments keep 2-yr yields near 4.8 %, firming the DXY, while CFTC data show specs cutting longs for a second week — limiting bid depth.

✨ Summary
Sell rallies 3 410-3 430; sustained trade below 3 366 targets 3 295, stretch 3 225. Short view void on an H4 close above 3 450.

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6月17日

交易進行

📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is basing on the mid-channel support (≈ 3 392), where the broken intraday down-sloper and last week’s higher-low intersect, confirming a bullish retest.
● Hourly candles are compressing inside a mini flag; a break of 3 408 completes the pattern and its 1.618 swing aligns with the upper rail / horizontal cluster at 3 444-3 450.

💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US jobless claims trend and a dip in 2-yr yields pulled the DXY off its peak, while CME FedWatch now shows <60 % odds of a second 2025 hike—easing headwinds for non-yielding gold.

✨ Summary
Buy 3 380-3 400; flag breakout >3 408 targets 3 444 → 3 450. Invalidate on an H1 close below 3 343.

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